• Best Bets for Super Bowl 2021
• Finding the Best Super Bowl Bets
• Bad Super Bowl Bets to Avoid
• Best Times to Bet on the Super Bowl
• Going Away

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We all love watching the Super Bowl, and there aren’t many people who don’t like making some extra money. Doing the two simultaneously? Now that’ll stimulate your interest quickly!

With so many bets available and so many avenues to place them, preparing yourself to profitably bet on the Super Bowl can be a bit overwhelming. The good news is that landing on this page will melt all of your worries away.

The goal of this guide to the best Super Bowl bets is to provide you with the information you need to place the right wager when the big game arrives. Not only will do showcase which Super Bowl bets are the best, we also advise you on which Super Bowl betting markets to avoid.

If that wasn’t enough, our resident football betting experts also offer up their best bets for Super Bowl 55 right here.

Best Bets for Super Bowl 2021

Noah Davis and Michael Wynn have spent the last two weeks scouring Super Bowl 55 betting markets. After combing the safest sites to find the most appealing prices, they’ve each settled on their three best Super Bowl bets.

Here they are.

• Travis Kelce to Score a TD (-164)
• Over 56.6 (-110)
• Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 1st Q TDs (+125)

Travis Kelce is en fuego heading into Super Bowl 55, scoring at least one touchdown in each of his last six games. He feels like such a lock to score a touchdown, that Chad Johnson bet Kelce would be the big game’s first score – and if not, he’d quit Twitter.

Kelce is a big reason why this game is going to be perhaps one of the most explosive Super Bowls ever. These teams combined for 51 points in an earlier meeting, and it won’t take much to get them over the hump.

Mahomes is also a key part of this game, and I think he gets off to a hot start. He only needs one touchdown pass to return sick value at +125.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 (-115)
• Jim Nantz says “Queen Latifah” More Than Once (+110)
• Mike Evans to Score a Touchdown (+120)

With the Super Bowl 55 odds oscillating between 3 and 3.5 depending on where you bet, I’m keen on latching onto the Bucs as long as I get the hook. Tampa Bay has the more potent defense, the game is at home, and that Tom Brady guy is pretty good at motivating his teammates.

Highlighted as one of my favorite bets in this complete guide to Super Bowl props, this thing is close to being a slam-dunk. Queen Latifah is starring in The Equalizer, a new show debuting on CBS right after the Super Bowl ends. Surely Jim Nantz will be directed to plug the new series a couple of times, especially considering he and Queen Latifah both spent time living in the same small town in New Jersey.

Shout out to Colts Neck Township.

I agree with Noah that Travis Kelce is going to reach pay dirt. However, another player prop I fancy is Mike Evans finding the end zone at +120. The odds are incredibly juicy, and the numbers are in our favor.

He scored touchdowns in each of his last two game, and scored two touchdowns vs. the Chiefs in Week 12.

Finding the Best Super Bowl Bets

Shopping your lines to ensure that you’re tracking down the most favorable odds is a big part of setting yourself up for success. At the same time, you’ll want to make sure you’re placing wagers at online sportsbooks that can be trusted.

Sticking to the best Super Bowl betting sites gives you the best of both worlds. Not only will you spot discrepancies in the pricing and be able to latch onto value, but you’ll feel confident knowing these sites are extremely reputable.

Chances are, you’re already familiar with betting NFL games online, so you already know that the available bets can be wide-ranging. However, the enormity of what’s out there for the Super Bowl is unlike anything else in the sports betting industry.

The key is to target the bets that have the highest likelihood of paying off. We’ll share a few examples below.

The best bet here is typically to back the quarterback of the team that you project to win the game. Heading into Super Bowl 53, seven of the previous nine Super Bowl MVPs were the QB of the team who raised the Lombardi Trophy.

Julian Edelman was honored as the Most Valuable Player in SB 53, although he was just the third offensive player who wasn’t a quarterback to win the award in the last 25 years. Of the five individuals in NFL history who have won the SB MVP multiple times, all five are QBs.

In a nutshell, trying to pinpoint a wide receiver or a running back typically won’t deliver a return on your investment. In fact, betting on a defender to win the Super Bowl MVP is also like trying to find a needle in a haystack. Through the first 53 Super Bowls, 43 of the MVPs were offensive players.

Surely some of you are experienced with live-betting NFL games. For those who are not, the Super Bowl game is the perfect time to get your feet wet.

Once the second quarter ends, a lot of people are going to be focused on the halftime show and all of the festivities that are included. Our recommendation is to spend that time scanning the best sportsbooks looking to lock in some serious value.

The most transparent way of explaining why value is easier to “unlock” during halftime is because oddsmakers simply don’t have enough information and data to perfect their projections. The odds at this point will be “softer” or less accurate than the ones that are set before the game.

Because these lines are being set on the fly, there’s a good chance you’ll see numerous wagers pop up that immediately catch your attention. It’s a great time to find some of the best Super Bowl bets available.

Betting value often lies in the simple bets. Moneyline wagers, point spreads, and totals are often about the best bets for the Super Bowl. It’s hard to ignore all prop bets available, though.

Once you start peering at all of the Super Bowl prop bets, it won’t take long to realize just how many options there are. You’ll drive yourself crazy trying to cover them all, so you need to be selective.

Instead of focusing on the props that were designed for entertainment, concentrate on the ones that you can find an edge in. Perhaps that could be a specific individual going over his projected total for rushing or receiving yards, or maybe it’s a crossover bet that involves another athlete from another sport that you’re familiar with.

The lesson here is to forget about trying to pursue action on all the wagers available. Remember, your goal is to find the best bets for the Super Bowl, not places as many as wagers as you can. Emphasize quality over quantity.

Now that we’ve spent some time establishing the best Super Bowl bets you should attack, it’s vital to reveal some of the ones you should dodge. The main idea here is to steer clear of the bets that are somewhat arbitrary. Likewise, stay away from the wagers where no edge is attached.

Betting on the coin toss or betting on what color tie the commentator will be wearing aren’t going to scoop money in the long run. On that note, here are some other Super Bowl bets to avoid.

The commercials are meant to be entertaining. They’re meant to be funny and memorable, but let’s just leave it at that.

The oddsmakers at the top football betting sites are fully aware of the increased demand to offer wagers related to the commercials. Every year, there is a sizable chunk of individuals who are more intrigued by what commercials will be shown compared to anything that has to do with the game itself.

What gets lost is that the targeted audience is typically made up of casual fans. These are the same folks who are generally less concerned with finding value and more captivated by the entertainment aspect the bets provide.

Chances are, any Super Bowl bets that have to do with the commercials are what we would call “sucker bets.”

The odds for your favorite team or some of the longshots are going to be extremely alluring, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a good idea to fire away. It’s easy to do, but don’t get infatuated by the potential return on your investment.

This isn’t a disclaimer to stay away from Super Bowl futures bets altogether, it’s just a warning that you should be sensible about it. Predicting that teams can go from a 5-11 record to winning the lot the very next year is going to burn a hole through your pocket quickly.

We’ve alluded to this in a prior segment, but the bookies understand the demand and interest for certain prop bets. For this reason, they have the leverage to generate odds that lean in their favor.

The way to combat this is to not fall into the trap and place a wager when BOTH sides are listed at -120. That’s simply too much juice to try and overcome in the long run. Doing it once in a while if the spot seems right is one thing, but don’t expect to turn a profit down the road if you are always laying -120.

Fortunately, there will be loads of other Super Bowl bets available with more appealing price tags attached.

One of the prop bets that always draws interest before the Super Bowl is betting on whether or not there will be a safety. You’ll likely have to lay in the neighborhood of -1000 to fade this bet.

The upside just isn’t there. We’ll unveil some quick math to prove that theory.

Across the 2017 and 2018 NFL regular seasons, we witnessed a total of 25 safeties in 512 games. That means a safety occurred in slightly less than 5% of the games. And even though we saw 17 safeties during the 2019 regular season, that still equates to just 6.6% of the time.

Those planning on risking $500 just to win $50 – you’re betting off allocating that $500 elsewhere.

Timing is everything in life, and some could say it’s the same when it comes to placing Super Bowl bets.

Bets for the Super Bowl game itself are usually released almost as soon as the AFC and NFC Championship games end.

Once the big game is over, it then doesn’t take long for the betting sites to start posting futures odds for the next year’s Super Bowl.

Right off the bat is an intriguing time to start firing away in both of these markets, before any lines seriously start getting adjusted.

Let’s say the Baltimore Ravens were installed at +2200 to win the Super Bowl before the season began. If you have an inkling that the Ravens are going to have a big year and make some noise in the playoffs, then locking that wager in before the season begins makes a lot of sense.

If you wait a few weeks and Baltimore is 3-0, you can kiss that +2200 price tag goodbye.

This is where you can take advantage of sportsbooks overreacting to mid-season disappointments. A perfect example is the Kansas Chiefs in 2019. KC was +400 to win Super Bowl 54 for a while but fell to 6-4 through ten weeks. Patrick Mahomes was just coming off a pretty severe knee injury. Heading into Week 11, the Chiefs had ballooned to +1000 to win the Super Bowl.

Next thing you know, the Chiefs won their next six games and clinched a bye during Wild Card Weekend. Backing Kansas City at that point meant settling for their +350 price tag.

The moral of the story here is to take advantage of when situations like these arise. At the very least, you could sell that +1000 ticket on the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl or start hedging your action. Either way, you can secure yourself a profit.

Once the playoffs get underway, the Super Bowl futures prices start dwindling. As each round of the postseason progresses, these prices shrink up even more. Due to the diminished upside, it’s okay to pass.

However, if you see a team with a price that really piques your interest, charge full steam ahead. Just don’t expect the odds to get any better once teams start getting eliminated.

Once the Super Bowl matchup has been determined, the floodgates burst wide open. This is when the sites will start unleashing Super Bowl props left and right.

Be sure to set aside ample time in the two-week runup to the games to browse through the selection. Equally important, decide how much money you are willing to risk on your bets. Otherwise, you could run out of funds before your eyes are opened to the full scope of wagers.

With the amount of money that comes pouring in on the Super Bowl in the days prior to kickoff, the bookmakers on Super Bowl Sunday is like pandemonium. If you plan on waiting until Sunday afternoon to get in on the action, the virtual sportsbooks will be your best option.

The lines at the land-based sportsbooks and bookmaking shops will be irritatingly long, so betting on the Super Bowl online will be your best course of action. The same rule applies during the game for those who want to live bet on the Super Bowl.

Between the drama in the game and being amongst friends and family at Super Bowl parties, not everyone will want to be on their phone or tablet trying to take part in the in-game betting. While that’s all fine and dandy, those same people might end up missing out on a ton of value.

This Super Bowl best bets guide was produced so that you didn’t have to scour the internet looking for Super Bowl betting advice. It’s all right here at your disposal.

Our goal was to organize everything you could possibly want to know about the best Super Bowl bets in one clean page.

We talked about where to find the best bets for the Super Bowl and which ones you should avoid, and discussed the optimal timing of certain Super Bowl wagers. In other words, your foundation to bet on the Super Bowl the right way is set.

As teams advance to the next round of the NFL Playoffs, bettors have another opportunity to place NFL wagers on intriguing Divisional Round prop bets in addition to the individual games themselves.

And, just like we did with the Wild Card Round, let’s take a look at some of the weekend’s top football prop bets to see where we can find value and make some money. All betting odds are courtesy of Bovada.

Most Passing Yards

We’ll start with the NFL prop bet that’s garnered a lot of attention with NFL betting sites and that’s which quarterback will have the most passing yards this weekend.

• Patrick Mahomes (+125)
• Jimmy Garoppolo (+550)
• Aaron Rodgers (+550)
• Russell Wilson (+600)
• Kirk Cousins (+650)
• Ryan Tannehill (+800)
• Deshaun Watson (+900)
• Lamar Jackson (+1400)

Sack These QBs for This Prop Bet

When it comes to throwing the ball, Lamar Jackson (+1400) has been solid this year. However, he only averaged 208.5 passing ypg, which is the lowest average for any QB on this list. I actually think he’s overvalued as there’s no way he’s out-gunning players like Mahomes and Wilson.

Another QB to avoid is Ryan Tannehill (+800). He only threw for 72 yards last Saturday against the Patriots defense and I don’t see him succeeding at Baltimore this weekend. Although Tannehill averaged 228.5 ypg through the air this season, I highly doubt he’s going to reach that number against the Ravens.

Along with Tannehill and Jackson, you can also avoid Kirk Cousins (+650) as he’s going up against one of the best pass defenses in the NFL. The 49ers finished 1^st against the pass as they allowed only 169.2 ypg and they were 2^nd in total defense allowing just 281.8 ypg.

Jimmy Garoppolo (+550) might be the second highest option for this prop, but he should also be avoided. His odds are overvalued. The Vikings have the 15^th best pass defense as they give up 233.6 ypg. Jimmy G. averages 248.6 ypg. And, Minnesota just held Drew Brees to 208 passing yards last weekend.

A ‘Hail Mary’ Bet

Deshaun Watson (+900) is the “hail mary” pick for this prop bet. In other words, he’s the long shot option with a chance to get near 300 yards. Make no mistake about it, Patrick Mahomes will throw for at least 300 yards. So, that’s the measuring stick for everyone else.

In their Week 6 matchup, Watson torched the Chiefs’ defense for 280 yards. And, that was with the Texans putting up close to 200 rushing yards. This weekend, I see the Chiefs lighting up the scoreboard and the Texans playing from behind, which means more passing attempts for Watson.

Value Plays at Lambeau

Both Aaron Rodgers (+550) and Russell Wilson (+600) are solid value plays in the Seattle vs Green Bay matchup. Wilson averaged 256.9 ypg and Rodgers averaged 250.1 ypg. Both teams will rely on their QBs to make the big plays and we could see an impromptu passing attack by two balanced offenses.

In the Wild Card round, I had Wilson as one of the Top 3 options to have the most passing yards and as a value play. He didn’t disappoint as Wilson finished with 325 passing yards which led all quarterbacks.

I believe Wilson has another chance at cracking the 300 yard mark and contending with Mahomes for the most yards this weekend. As for Rodgers, I would rank him as the 3^rd best option as he could have a big game against a subpar Seattle secondary or he could be under constant pressure by their d-line.

Mahomes Is the Man This Weekend

I can’t see how Mahomes doesn’t throw for at least 300 yards against the Houston Texans this weekend. They allowed Buffalo’s offense to tally 425 total yards in the Wild Card round, which makes me think that Kansas City could eclipse 450 total yards.

If that happens then I believe Mahomes will surpass 325 yards and flirt with 350 yards. With limited possessions, Mahomes still threw for 273 yards and 3 TDs in the Week 6 matchup against Houston. Additionally, he’s averaging 286.5 passing ypg in his two Playoff games.

Lastly, the Texans defense allow 388.2 total ypg game (28^th) and give up an average of 267.2 passing ypg (29^th). Mahomes is going to crush it on Sunday. And, the fact that he has “plus” betting odds is just icing on the cake.

NFL Prop Bet – Most Passing Yards: Patrick Mahomes (+125)

Most Receiving Yards

Best Prop Bets

Since Tyreke Hill is Mahomes’ top receiving target, it makes sense that he’s the odds on favorite to have the most receiving yards. However, there are a few other options that could really pay off this weekend.

• Tyreek Hill (+350)
• Davante Adams (+350)
• DeAndre Hopkins (+600)
• AJ Brown (+750)
• Stefon Diggs (+800)
• Tyler Lockett (+800)
• DK Metcalf (+950)
• Deebo Samuel (+1200)
• Adam Thielen (+1200)
• Will Fuller (+1200)
• Emmanuel Sanders (+1200)
• Marquise Brown (+1200)

Receivers Who Will Get Shut Down

Why is Marquise Brown (+1200) on this list when Travis Kelce isn’t? In fact, Brown shouldn’t even be on this list over his teammate tight end Mark Andrews who is Lamar Jackson’s favorite target. Brown will be lucky to get three catches on Saturday.

Last weekend I said there’s no way AJ Brown (+750) will have success against the Patriots defense. He ended up with four yards on just one reception. He might have more yardage this weekend, but it won’t be by much. And he certainly won’t be the leading receiver when he has to face a Top 5 secondary.

Emmanuel Sanders (+1200) and Will Fuller (+1200) are too injured to trust and aren’t even the top receivers on their teams. It’s pointless to throw money at these two especially when their teammates have a better chance at gaining more yards. Additionally, neither will be 100% for this weekend’s games.

Deebo Samuel (+1200) has a better shot at gaining more receiving yards than Sanders. However, both receivers will play second fiddle to tight end Greg Kittle who’s not even on this list.

Last weekend, I said to avoid Stefon Diggs (+800) as Thielen was back and his numbers were going to dip. Additionally, he was going to face the Saints’ top corner. The same philosophy is going to apply this weekend with the elite 49ers pass defense. Diggs will be lucky to get 50 yards on Saturday.

For the second straight weekend, I’m calling for all bettors to avoid Tyler Lockett (+800). He’s had a poor second half of the season and I felt that DK Metcalf would have a better game vs the Eagles. I believe Metcalf will outshine Lockett again this weekend and is the better option of Seattle’s receivers.

The Best Longshot

Adam Thielen (+1200) is the best of the longshots for this prop bet. I believe he will have more success against the 49ers than Diggs will. With that said, the 49ers can’t double team either Minnesota receiver, which should benefit Thielen more. Last weekend, Thielen put up 129 yards on 7 receptions against the Saints.

The Best Value

DK Metcalf offers the best betting value this weekend. How can he not? He lit up the Eagles last weekend and led all receivers with 160 yards on 7 receptions. He also had a touchdown in that Wild Card game.

I see big things in store for Metcalf again this weekend as I’m not sold on the Packers secondary. Metcalf should be in line for 10 targets and could go over the 100 yard mark for the second straight postseason game.

Overvalued, But Still Have a Chance

Once again, DeAndre Hopkins (+600) is an overvalued play in the Playoffs. He’s definitely one of the best receivers in the league, but the Chiefs are going to double team him. I can see 6 or 7 catches for 80 to 90 yards. However, he will still finish below the leading receiver this weekend.

Tyreke Hill (+350) is also overvalued in my opinion. Yes, Mahomes will throw for 300+ yards, but he will spread the ball around to Hill, Watkins and Kelce. In fact, tight end Travis Kelce has just as good of a chance to lead the Chiefs in receiving yards as Hill does.

The Addams Family

Davante Adams is my pick to win this prop bet. For starters, he averaged 83.1 ypg which is more than anyone else on this list. Secondly, the Seahawks pass defense is 27^th in the league as they allow 263.9 ypg.

Adams is the main target for Rodgers whereas Hill is one of three targets for Mahomes. And, Adams is not only a downfield threat, but he’s also the Packers’ best possession receiver as well.

NFL Prop Bet – Most Receiving Yards: Davante Adams (+350)

Most Rushing Yards

Once again, Derrick Henry is the betting favorite for finishing with the most rushing yards in a Playoff round. With that said, I do believe there’s value with a few other options and we could see a longshot even paying off.

• Derrick Henry (+150)
• Dalvin Cook (+550)
• Lamar Jackson (+550)
• Aaron Jones (+700)
• Raheem Mostert (+800)
• Mark Ingram (+800)
• Carlos Hyde (+900)
• Damien Williams (+900)
• Marshawn Lynch (+2000)

Bench These RB Options

As cool as it is to see Marshawn Lynch (+2000) back in action, he’s splitting the backfield with another running back and isn’t the same threat that he used to be. Right now, he’s best suited in the red zone and short yardage situations.

Damien Williams (+900) and all other Chiefs running backs should be avoided at all costs. For starters, you never know which running back will get the most touches. Secondly, the Chiefs had the 23^rd ranked rush offense as they averaged only 98.1 ypg.

Raheem Mostert (+800) is a stud and will certainly have some success this weekend. Unfortunately, he will also rotate with other running backs and is going up against a solid Vikings defense who just held the Saints to 97 rushing yards. The Vikings finished 13^th on the year against the run, allowing 108 ypg.

Mark Ingram (+800) would be a good value play if we knew he was 100% healthy. Unfortunately, Ingram has missed some practice time this week after injuring his calf in Week 16. With other running backs to help carry the load, and his QB Jackson, I think Ingram should be avoided this weekend.

Best Betting Value

Dalvin Cook (+550) finished the regular season with 1,135 rushing yards and 13 TDs, which was the 10^th best yardage mark in the league. He missed a few games due to injuries, but when healthy, Cook is an explosive dual threat back.

Against the Saints’ #4 ranked rush defense Cook put up 94 yards on the ground and also added 36 yards receiving. On the day, Cook finished with 130 total yards, 2 TDs, and 3 receptions. He’s going up against a 49ers rush defense that ranks 17^th in the league as they allow 112.6 ypg.

Aaron Jones (+700) could have a big game on Sunday if Seattle doesn’t corral him. The Seahawks are ranked 22^nd in the NFL against the run as they allow 117.7 ypg. Jones finished the season ranked 12^th in yardage as he had 1,084 rushing yards. He also had 474 receiving yards and 19 total TDs.

Carlos Hyde (+900) offers the best value out of all the running backs listed for this prop bet. Not only did Hyde finish with 1,070 yards on the season, but he put up 126 yards on the Chiefs in the Week 6 matchup. Hyde dominated the KC defense as he carried the ball 26 times for a 4.5 ypc average and also scored a TD.

If Houston can duplicate their performance from the regular season matchup, and that’s a big “if,” then Hyde could be running away with this prop bet.

Who Finishes With More Yards: Lamar Jackson or Derrick Henry?

In all likelihood the leading rusher for this weekend will come down to the game between the Ravens and the Titans.

As we all know by now, Derrick Henry (+150) finished the season as the leading rusher in the NFL. He tallied 1,540 yards on the ground and 16 rushing touchdowns. Just as impressive, he put up 182 rushing yards and a touchdown against the Patriots last weekend in the Wild Card round.

DERRICK HENRY ?

His 182 rush yards are the most against a Bill Belichick-coached Patriots team in a playoff game. pic.twitter.com/mNcTyAxDZm

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) January 5, 2020

Henry is a beast of a running back. He has an unmatched combination of speed and size that makes him hard to stop. He typically requires multiple tacklers to bring him down. Of all starting running backs, Henry led the league with 5.1 yards per carry.

However, if you include QBs as well, Lamar Jackson (+550) bested Henry with a 6.9 ypc. Furthermore, Jackson finished 6^th in the NFL for rushing yards with 1,206 yards. Keep in mind, Jackson didn’t play the last game of the season. Henry played and got 211 yards against backups.

The Ravens finished as the #1 rushing attack in the NFL with an average of 206 ypg. The Titans, with Henry, finished as the 3^rd best rushing attack at 138.9 yards per game. Baltimore has a two-headed monster with Mark Ingram and Lamar Jackson. The Titans are all about Henry.

With Ingram banged up, Jackson will get more opportunities for designed runs. And, that also doesn’t count his scrambling during pass plays.

The Ravens have the 5^th best rush defense allowing 93.4 ypg and they will commit to stopping the run. I expect them to hold Henry to right around the 100 yard mark. However, I like Lamar Jackson to eclipse the 100 yard mark and finish off the weekend as the top rusher.

He won’t win the prop bet for passing yards, but I love his value and his chances at winning this prop bet for rushing yards.

NFL Prop Bet – Most Rushing Yards: Lamar Jackson (+550)

Which Team Will Score the Most Points?

It’s no surprise that the Chiefs are the odds on favorite for this prop bet as we saw KC’s players at the top of two prop bets above. However, the Ravens are closely behind in odds. Could we see any value plays hitting on this prop bet?

• Kansas City Chiefs (+220)
• Baltimore Ravens (+225)
• Green Bay Packers (+600)
• San Francisco 49ers (+600)
• Seattle Seahawks (+800)
• Houston Texans (+900)
• Tennessee Titans (+950)
• Minnesota Vikings (+950)

The Vikings and Titans Are Fighting an Uphill Battle

The Tennessee Titans (+950) might be the 10^th highest scoring team in the league with an average of 25.1 ppg, but they’re going up against the best team in the NFL and the #3 ranked scoring defense that allowed just 17.6 ppg.

Not only will the Titans be in a slugfest for four quarters, they have to go to Baltimore, try to slow down the mighty Ravens offense, and overcome their defense. I don’t see it happening.

The Minnesota Vikings (+950) travel to the West Coast to take on one of the best defenses in the league. The Vikings averaged 25.4 ppg in the regular season, but had to go into OT to hit that mark against the Saints last weekend.

Additionally, in three of their last four games of the regular season they scored 20 points or less. The 49ers allow 19.4 ppg, which is the 8^th best scoring defense in the league. The Vikings might gain yardage, but they’re going to find it difficult to score over 20 points against San Francisco.

The Seahawks and Packers Are Overvalued

The Green Bay Packers (+600) are overvalued for this prop bet. They finished 15^th in the league with an average of 23.5 ppg, which is the lowest of the remaining Playoff teams. In six of their last eight games, they scored less than their season average. Green Bay is a “middle of the pack” offense statistically and not worthy of a wager.

The Seattle Seahawks (+800) finished 9^th in the league for scoring offense as they averaged 25.3 ppg. However, Seattle’s offense didn’t hit that mark in five of their last seven games. That includes only scoring 17 points against the Eagles in the Wild Card round.

Additionally, the Packers defense allows just 19.6 ppg and have only given up more than 24 points one time at home this year. In their last four home games to close out the season, the Packers allowed just 14.5 ppg. Seattle is slightly overvalued for this prop bet as well.

These Teams Offer Betting Value

Surprisingly, the San Francisco 49ers (+600) finished as the 2^nd highest scoring team in the NFL with an average of 29.9 ppg. Unlike the Packers, San Francisco actually scored 29.4 ppg over their last five games of the season and that includes two losses in that span.

The 49ers have the 2^nd best rushing attack in the league, the best defense left in the Playoffs, and an underrated passing game. If they were playing anyone else in the NFC right now, I would’ve picked them to win this prop bet. But, Minnesota is the 5^th ranked scoring defense as they allow just 18.9 ppg.

In the Wild Card round, the Vikings held the #3 scoring offense in New Orleans to just 20 points, which was 8.6 ppg below their season average. Not to mention, the Saints were averaging close to 40 ppg over the last month of the regular season. The 49ers have value, but they do come with a risk.

The Houston Texans (+900) are the best longshot to win this prop bet. Keep in mind, they put up 31 points against the Chiefs in the Week 6 matchup. They will need to score at least that to win this wager and to have a chance at winning the game.

Although I think Houston and the 49ers could be worthy of a flier, this prop bet will most likely come down to the Ravens and Chiefs.

The Ravens or The Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs (+220) are the 5^th highest scoring team in the league with an average of 28.2 ppg. They did lose to the Texans in Week 6, but they were dealing with injuries and their team has gotten a lot better since then.

1️⃣4️⃣2️⃣.2️⃣ dB

We need that, #ChiefsKingdompic.twitter.com/hca3Q21VHj

— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) January 8, 2020

Best Prop Bets Nfl

They are going up against a Texans defense that allows 24.1 ppg and is near the bottom of the league in total yards allowed, rushing yards allowed and passing yards allowed. In other words, I expect the Chiefs to have a big game and put up 30 to 35 points.

The Baltimore Ravens (+225) led the league in scoring this year with an average of 33.2 ppg. However, they failed to reach that mark in four of their last five games and are going up against a Titans defense that allows just 20.7 ppg.

Best Prop Bets Today

I expect this game to be physical with the Titans trying to control the clock. With the Chiefs most likely playing in a shootout and the Ravens in a ground and pound battle, I have to give the edge to Kansas City for this prop bet. I believe the Chiefs will win 34 to 23 and the Ravens will win 30 to 20.

NFL Prop Bet – Who Scores the Most Points: Kansas City Chiefs (+220)

Best Prop Bet Site Officiel